Lake Central
Boys - Girls
2007 - 2008 - 2009
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State Rank #2
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #1
Crown Point Regional Rank #1
Gavit Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 2nd place at State Finals
State Champion 0.3%
Top 5 at State Finals 71.3%
Top 10 at State Finals 98.9%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
4  Dana Payonk 11 18:36
36  Rachel Zajac 12 19:16
60  Anna Kacius 10 19:35
80  Megan Plenus 11 19:47
Kailey Jensen 12 20:10
Shelby Carroll 9 20:15
Sarah Zajac 10 21:40




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 4.5 184 0.3 22.8 19.2 15.8 13.2 9.8 7.1 5.3 3.6 1.8 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1
Semi-State 100% 1.5 57 52.7 46.6 0.6 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 19 99.7 0.3
Sectionals 100% 1.0 16 100.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dana Payonk 100% 5.7 9.8 10.1 9.4 8.1 7.4 7.3 6.1 5.7 4.8 4.5 3.8 3.3 3.0 2.3 1.9 2.0 1.7 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.5 100.0%
Rachel Zajac 100% 34.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.2 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.4 92.9%
Anna Kacius 100% 52.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 52.7%
Megan Plenus 100% 64.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 21.5%
Kailey Jensen 100% 92.7 1.0%
Shelby Carroll 100% 98.4 0.4%
Sarah Zajac 100% 169.9 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dana Payonk 100% 2.0 29.2 21.7 15.5 11.1 8.0 6.1 3.9 2.5 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Rachel Zajac 100% 10.0 0.3 0.9 1.6 2.9 4.0 5.5 8.4 11.8 15.3 14.1 10.2 7.8 5.8 4.3 3.0 1.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Anna Kacius 100% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 2.1 4.1 6.4 8.3 9.6 9.7 10.3 10.1 9.3 7.3 6.2 4.4 3.0 2.3 1.7 1.1 0.7 100.0%
Megan Plenus 100% 18.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.7 4.1 5.4 6.5 8.1 8.7 9.7 10.0 7.9 6.6 5.8 5.1 4.0 3.3 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dana Payonk 100% 1.0 99.2 0.8 100.0%
Rachel Zajac 100% 1.7 0.3 68.4 25.5 5.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Anna Kacius 100% 3.3 6.3 32.7 40.3 15.8 3.4 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Megan Plenus 100% 4.4 0.8 7.3 25.0 43.9 13.7 5.0 2.2 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dana Payonk 1.0 99.7 0.3
Rachel Zajac 1.6 0.3 88.8 10.0 1.0 0.1
Anna Kacius 2.6 0.0 9.3 67.6 20.7 2.1 0.2 0.0
Megan Plenus 3.5 1.4 19.7 63.8 11.8 2.6 0.6 0.0 0.0